Orange Bowl
12/29/06
Bowl Preview Home / Sports Channel / Bullz-Eye Home
ALSO: Want to get in on the bowl action? Find the latest spreads from four major handicappers for all of this year's bowl match-ups with our College Football Lines.
Tuesday,
January 2, 8:00 p.m. ET
Dolphins Stadium - Miami, FL
Dolphins Stadium - Miami, FL
Series
History: This will be the first meeting between the two schools.
Nothing
offensive about Louisville’s O. The Cardinals rank only behind
Hawaii for the best offense in all
|
You
may run a little, pass for a lot more, but you may never score! Wake
Forest doesn’t have one
|
of
college football. Louisville racked up 5,722 total yards this year and
58 touchdowns. The Cardinals house the seventh best passing attack in
the NCAA and the 21st rushing offense. Put it all together and Louisville
is tied for the third best mark in points scored with 38.9. It’s a safe
bet that when the Cardinals trot onto the field come January 2, yards
will be racked up and points will be scored. Offense anyone?
|
of
the best defenses in all of college football, but the
Demon Deacons excel in the one category that essentially
matters the most. Wake is ranked 22nd against the run,
allowing just over 100 yards per game while the pass
defense is surrendering 214.4 yards a game for a 72nd
ranking. However, the Deacons often turn away opponents
when they get inside the red zone, allowing just 15.4
points per game. Not that Wake wants opponents in the
red zone all the time, but it does appear that the
Deacons are most comfortable defensively when the other
team is ready to put points on the board. |
Wideouts
Harry Douglas and Mario Urrutia vs. the NCAA’s 72nd pass defense. Despite
winning the
|
Jon
Abbate vs. Kolby Smith. One
of the reasons Louisville is so explosive is because
of its balance
|
game, Wake
Forest allowed Georgia Tech’s NFL-bound Calvin Johnson to snag eight
receptions for 177 yards in the ACC title game. The Deacons survived
the contest because Johnson was all the Jackets had rolling on offense.
That won’t be the case in the Orange Bowl, seeing as how Louisville
has a mountain of talent on offense. Douglas and Urrutia are physically
gifted and have one of the best quarterbacks in the nation in Brian
Brohm getting them the football. The Cardinals need to exploit Wake’s
secondary with vertical passes and deep crossing routes. For the most
part, Louisville needs to leave the dink and dunk passes at home and
go for the throat of Wake’s defense.
|
The
Cardinals keep opposing defenses on their heels and
strike for long gains when they know they have the
edge. Since stud running back Michael Bush went down
in the first game of the season, Smith has stepped
up to the tune of 780 rushing yards and seven touchdowns.
Abbate is going to have his hands full, but the junior
linebacker is often the most prepared defender on Wake’s
defense. Abbate is extremely physical and can shed
blocks well, so making sure Smith is turned away at
the line of scrimmage will be priority number one.
If Smith starts proceeding into his holes more cautiously
because of Abbate, the Deacons can shut down the run
and take away the balance that Louisville’s offense
thrives on. |
Throw
the ball to win. Louisville will win if it doesn’t change
much offensively.The Cardinals simply
|
Wake needs to dictate the pace of this game from the outset. Get into a shootout with Louisville and the
|
don’t
have to. Louisville has been on a roll since losing to Rutgers and a
big part of that is because Bobby Petrino’s bunch stays aggressive.
Quarterback Brian Brohm can exploit Wake’s secondary. If Brohm can get
into a nice rhythm with receivers Harry Douglas and Mario Urrutia, the
Deacons are going to have a hard time trying to dictate the pace of
this contest. The Cardinals need to step on the gas and never let their
collective foot off the pedal, because Wake shouldn’t be able to hang
with Louisville’s explosive offense. Brohm shouldn’t be afraid to throw;
Petrino needs to trust in the quarterback who threw just five interceptions
this season compared to 16 touchdowns. Having balance is always extremely
important, however. Get too pass happy and the Deacons can make adjustments.
Kolby Smith is only averaging about 65 rushing yards per game, but the
Cardinals usually get anywhere from 40 to 60 yards from the backups
too. Smith can really determine the pace of the game if he can continuously
hit his holes hard and not dance too much. Louisville can dominate offensively;
the Cardinals just can’t be too predictable because that’s what Wake
feeds on. Louisville has had some brain farts on defense throughout
the year, but usually the Cardinals are pretty solid. Just like on offense,
Louisville needs to stay aggressive defensively. Everything revolves
around outside linebacker Malik Jackson, who is easily the Cardinals
biggest playmaker defensively. Jackson is often aided by 315-pound senior
defensive tackle Amobi Okoye. Okoye needs to create some havoc in Wake’s
backfield and disrupt the run game. If Okoye attracts double teams,
that can really set the linebackers free to blitz. If the Deacons get
comfortable offensively, they can be deadly. So stay aggressive, cause
turnovers and remain disciplined
in the secondary.
|
Deacons
nice season will end miserably. Wake just doesn’t have
the horses on either side of the ball to completely
take over the game. So that means long, clock-eating
drives on offense and causing turnovers on defense.
Wake was fifth in the ACC in time of possession, so
the Deacons can play the kind of ball-control game
to win. Freshman QB Riley Skinner has done
a fantastic job this season, but now is not the time
to be a hero. Skinner doesn’t have a ton of arm strength
and lacks accuracy at times, but he is extremely intelligent
on the field. He’s also very tough and he can escape
the pocket if need be. It’s imperative
that Wake not turn the ball over and
give Louisville a short field. The Cardinals can score
from anywhere on the gridiron, so make them go the
length of it at all times. The Deacons love to run
misdirection plays with their wide receiver-turned-tailback
Kenneth Moore. Moore probably can’t change the game
with one run like a Darren McFadden or Adrian Peterson,
so sticking to the misdirection plays are going to
be necessary to eat up a lot of yards, and more importantly,
the clock. Keep Louisville’s offense off the field.
On defense, the name of the game is simple - get turnovers.
The Deacons lived off the turnover all season and it
helped mask the deficiencies in the secondary. As noted
in the key match up section, Jon Abbate anchors Wake’s
traditional 4-3 set. Abbate’s going to need to be a
mad man and constantly attack Louisville’s line of
scrimmage. Disrupt the run game and the Cardinals may
revert to the pass and the pass only. Not that Wake
needs constant pressure on its secondary, but one way
to beat Louisville is to make the Cardinals one-dimensional.
And just because the unit ranks 72nd in the NCAA in
pass defense, doesn’t mean that it’s not athletic.
Free safety Josh Gattis and corners Alphonso Smith
and Riley Swanson have all combined for 12 interceptions
this season. If the secondary can cause a turnover
or two and the offense can stay on the field for long
drives, the Deacons may pull off the upset. Get behind
early, however, and it will probably be a long night. |
Showtime
for Brohm. Brian Brohm is an easy choice for the x-factor, but
think about it for a second. Like a |
The
Deacons are only has strong as their Coach of the Year. The
job that Jim Grobe has done at Wake
|
professional
player who is in a contract season, the junior quarterback is trying
to make a name for himself. Brohm wants to prove that he’s worthy of
a first round selection in next April’s NFL draft, so why not perform
well on a national stage? Not that Brohm needs any extra motivation
to help the Cardinals win their first BCS bowl game. But the reality
of the situation is that a great showing can go a long way from being
a “project” to a “bona fide starter” at the next level. |
this season
has been remarkable. No coach in college football has
less to work with year in and year out than Grobe does.
And all the sixth-year head coach has done is given
Wake its first 11-win season in school history, win
an ACC title and taken the program to its first BCS
bowl game. What often gets overlooked about the Deacons’
2006 season is that Wake finished 6-0 on the road.
That’s coaching. Grobe might be the best coach in college
football to have a team ready to play a game where
it’s the underdog. |
Since
Brian Brohm has been a consistent name used throughout
this preview, why not make him a
|
Fair warning, this fun fact has nothing to do with Demon Deacon football, but it is interesting.
|
part of the fun fact too? Brohm was drafted in MLB following
his senior year in high school. Brian’s brother, Jeff,
was also drafted out of high school and played in the
minor leagues during the summers of his college career.
So instead of leading the Cardinals to a potential Orange Bowl victory,
Brian could be playing in the NL West with the Colorado Rockies.
|
Has anybody
checked out who Wake has produced from its golf course
over the years? Here are some of the notable alumni
or attendees of Wake Forest that obviously have made
their way around the links: Billy Andrade, Jay Haas,
Arnold Palmer, Lanny Wadkins and Curtis Strange. You
could field an entire Wake Forest golf team with these
Deacon professionals. |
One of two things is going to happen in this game. Either Louisville is going to jump out to a big lead and keep adding on for a potential blowout or Wake is going to control the temp of this game and win a thriller. For the latter to happen, the Deacons would have to cause turnovers to keep up. And quite frankly, the Cardinals just don’t turn the ball over. Brian Brohm is going to use this game as a highlight piece for Mel Kiper Jr. in next April’s NFL draft: Louisville 34, Wake Forest 17.